Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.377933 0.434144 0.495101 0.566022 0.646166 0.733825 0.836863
2025-04-20 0.293884 0.369936 0.459362 0.571871 0.709203 0.870919 1.075282
2025-04-27 0.236771 0.324461 0.435550 0.585617 0.781909 1.028668 1.360911
2025-05-04 0.189208 0.281029 0.405801 0.585879 0.836879 1.171704 1.648954
2025-05-11 0.152184 0.243980 0.377230 0.581760 0.884013 1.309605 1.948239
2025-05-18 0.124161 0.213992 0.352740 0.578275 0.930019 1.450329 2.268274
2025-05-25 0.103374 0.190775 0.333862 0.579182 0.981231 1.603318 2.623320
2025-06-01 0.087788 0.172827 0.319873 0.584795 1.039283 1.772051 3.020386
2025-06-08 0.073536 0.154190 0.301240 0.579094 1.076997 1.911610 3.385482
2025-06-15 0.064539 0.143437 0.294451 0.592442 1.147865 2.111959 3.869942
2025-06-22 0.054599 0.128693 0.277601 0.584410 1.178959 2.246955 4.256341
2025-06-29 0.048009 0.119526 0.269893 0.592250 1.239499 2.438860 4.760032
2025-07-06 0.040154 0.106013 0.251311 0.576165 1.253226 2.549228 5.132162
2025-07-13 0.036335 0.101050 0.249999 0.595472 1.339218 2.803334 5.795861
2025-07-20 0.033257 0.097232 0.250563 0.618829 1.436285 3.088453 6.546005
2025-07-27 0.029483 0.090773 0.243925 0.625125 1.498036 3.309928 7.192998
2025-08-03 0.025861 0.083872 0.234991 0.624696 1.544910 3.505613 7.806455
2025-08-10 0.022717 0.077552 0.226350 0.623554 1.589806 3.701204 8.437208
2025-08-17 0.020171 0.072370 0.219701 0.626221 1.643587 3.920513 9.136750
2025-08-24 0.018128 0.068236 0.215110 0.633373 1.708682 4.170325 9.922918
2025-08-31 0.015901 0.062924 0.206263 0.627967 1.742476 4.353456 10.579689
2025-09-07 0.014598 0.060411 0.205006 0.642832 1.828400 4.662604 11.541548
2025-09-14 0.012778 0.055570 0.195912 0.634489 1.853990 4.834114 12.206921